New Zealand v India

PRE-MATCHIndia tour of New Zealand 2026 – T20I series · match 1 of 5 · Men's T20I

New Zealand

Home · c Mitchell Santner

India

Away · c Shreyas Iyer (verify)

First ball

Thu 22 Oct · 20:00

NZDT · 09:00 Amsterdam · 09:00 SA · 12:30 IST

Venue

Hagley Oval

Christchurch

Head-to-head (all T20Is)

IND 19 – 11 NZ

31 played · super-over wins counted · 1 tied/NR

Rain risk (forecast)

5 days out · low confidence

Analyst notes

Generated from the data below · interpretation, not a betting recommendation

India arrive in rhythm, with recent T20I cricket. New Zealand have not played a T20I since 02 May 2026.
India score about 6 more runs than New Zealand in the powerplay (last 12 months).
India score about 12 more runs than New Zealand in the last 10 overs (last 12 months).
This ground has been tough early: its powerplay average (43) is well below both teams' recent norms. Sample: 15 matches.
Chasing has the edge here (8 wins vs 6); 73% of toss winners chose to field.
India have never played a T20I at this ground.
New Zealand are without Rachin Ravindra, Mark Chapman and Zak Foulkes. India have a fitness doubt over Arshdeep Singh.

Team news & selection

Squads announced · playing XIs confirmed at the toss (30 min before start)

New Zealand squad (16)

Mitchell Santner (c), Finn Allen, Michael Bracewell, Josh Clarkson, Devon Conway, Jacob Duffy, Lockie Ferguson, Matt Henry, Bevon Jacobs, Kyle Jamieson, Adam Milne, Daryl Mitchell, Glenn Phillips, Tim Seifert, Nathan Smith, Blair Tickner

Injuries & changes

OUTRachin Ravindra · dislocated right shoulder (promo shoot)

OUTMark Chapman · torn left hamstring

OUTZak Foulkes · right hip flexor

INJosh Clarkson, Blair Tickner (replacements)

BACKMichael Bracewell, Adam Milne (Milne's first international in over a year)

Sources: Khel Now 23 Sep · Outlook India 9 Oct

India squad (16)

Shreyas Iyer (c), Tilak Varma (vc), Abhishek Sharma, Vaibhav Sooryavanshi, Sanju Samson (wk), Ishan Kishan (wk), Axar Patel, Shivam Dube, Nitish Kumar Reddy, Naman Dhir, Arshdeep Singh, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Mayank Yadav, Prince Yadav, Varun Chakaravarthy, Kuldeep Yadav

Injuries & changes

DOUBTArshdeep Singh · shoulder injury picked up in the West Indies series

BACKBhuvneshwar Kumar (36) returns to the T20I side

CHECKCaptaincy: two sources say Iyer, one is inconsistent. Confirm before publishing.

Sources: Esquire India 7 Oct · India Cricket Schedule 7 Oct · Outlook India 17 Oct

Form & momentum

Cricsheet ball-by-ball · data to 14 Oct 2026

New Zealand

Last 12 months: P27 · W11 · L13 · NR3

most recent first

02 May 26v Bangladesh · DhakaW by 6 wkts

27 Apr 26v Bangladesh · ChattogramL by 6 wkts

25 Mar 26v South Africa · ChristchurchL by 33 runs

22 Mar 26v South Africa · WellingtonL by 19 runs

20 Mar 26v South Africa · AucklandW by 8 wkts

No T20I since 02 May 2026.

India

Last 12 months: P39 · W25 · L11 · NR3

most recent first

11 Oct 26v West Indies · IndoreW by 14 runs

09 Oct 26v West Indies · RanchiL by 6 wkts

06 Oct 26v West Indies · LucknowW by 8 wkts

03 Oct 26v Pakistan · Asian GamesW by 19 runs

01 Oct 26v Sri Lanka · Asian GamesW by 124 runs

Not yet in Cricsheet: 4th T20I v West Indies (lost, series 2–2 per news) and the rain-hit decider on 17 Oct (result pending).

Last 5 meetings

Last 5 years: IND 11 – 3 NZ (15 played)

08 Mar 2026IND 255/5 · NZ 159 · Ahmedabad, T20 World CupIND by 96 runs

31 Jan 2026IND 271/5 · NZ 225 · ThiruvananthapuramIND by 46 runs

28 Jan 2026NZ 215/7 · IND 165 · VisakhapatnamNZ by 50 runs

25 Jan 2026NZ 153/9 · IND 155/2 · GuwahatiIND by 8 wkts

23 Jan 2026NZ 208/6 · IND 209/3 · RaipurIND by 7 wkts

Scoring patterns

Average per innings · T20Is since 17 Oct 2025 · Cricsheet

New Zealand (24 innings) India (36 innings)

Average first-innings total

batting first, full innings

173.6

205.0

Powerplay runs

overs 1–6

55.8

61.9

First 10 overs

runs

91.0

96.6

Last 10 overs

runs

85.3

97.6

Death overs

overs 17–20

37.4

42.3

Powerplay runs conceded

bowling, overs 1–6

52.0

48.9

Death runs conceded

bowling, overs 17–20

39.6

37.5

Powerplay = overs 1–6 · Death = overs 17–20 (full innings only) · Bowling rows show runs the team concedes, so lower is better.

Venue & pitch · Hagley Oval

15 men's T20Is, 2019–2026 · Cricsheet

Avg 1st innings

161

completed innings, 2019–2026

Recent 1st innings

167

last 4 completed

Chasing wins

8 – 6

chase vs bat first · 1 NR

Toss: chose to field

73%

11 of 15 toss winners

Avg powerplay

runs, overs 1–6

Avg death overs

runs, overs 17–20

Highest / lowest

236 / 91

ENG · PAK

NZ here

6 – 6

won – lost · 13 played

Pitch report

AWAITING TOSS

The official pitch report arrives with the broadcast at the toss. It will be summarised here with its source and time.

What history suggests

Scores have been steady recently (last 4 first innings average 167 vs 161 overall). India have never played a T20I here.

Weather during the match

Open-Meteo forecast · fetched 2026-10-17T16:32Z · refreshes daily until first ball

Time (NZDT)	Temp	Rain chance	Wind / gusts	Humidity	Dew point
20:00	18°C	0%	10 / 31 km/h NE	60%	10°C
21:00	16°C	0%	8 / 29 km/h NE	70%	10°C
22:00	14°C	0%	8 / 27 km/h E	78%	10°C
23:00	13°C	0%	7 / 24 km/h E	82%	10°C

Washout risk: none forecastThunder: none forecast Dew: possible late, as temperature falls toward the dew point (13° vs 10°)Sunset: 20:02

Forecast 5 days out · low confidence. Precision improves daily.

In the media

India v West Indies decider hit by rain in Bengaluru; series level at 2–2, Arshdeep Singh nursing a shoulder injuryOutlook India · 17 Oct New Zealand lose Mark Chapman and Zak Foulkes for the whole series; Clarkson and Tickner called upOutlook India · 9 Oct India name T20I squad for New Zealand; Bhuvneshwar Kumar recalled at 36Esquire India · 7 Oct Rachin Ravindra ruled out after dislocating his shoulder at a promotional shootESPNcricinfo · Sep

Our own one-line summaries, linked to the original article.

Fan mood

NOT CONNECTED YET

Will summarise what fans on X are saying: overall mood per team, top talking points and a few representative posts. Estimated cost: about US$2.50 per match.

Clearly labelled as opinion. Does not feed the live model.

PART 2 · OPENS AT FIRST BALL

Live market analysis

When play starts, this page switches to live analysis: our fair price against the bookmakers' odds, updated ball by ball, with a VALUE, FAIR, WAIT, AVOID or NO VERDICT signal and the reasons behind it. During this series it runs in recording mode only.

VALUEFAIRWAITAVOIDNO VERDICT